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July 30, 2008

Wide Receivers and Runnings Backs

Running my prediction algorithm for wide receivers and running backs. Keep in mind that the points are generated based on the 2007 scores using the Yahoo! fantasy football points system. Here's the wide receivers: 

+---------------+----------+--------------+-------+---------+
| name          | position | current_team | pts   | games07 |
+---------------+----------+--------------+-------+---------+
| R. Wayne      | wr       | IND          | 62.26 |      16 | 
| T. Holt       | wr       | STL          | 61.53 |      16 | 
| T. Owens      | wr       | DAL          | 61.43 |      15 | 
| D. Mason      | wr       | BAL          | 61.20 |      16 | 
| P. Burress    | wr       | NYG          | 60.63 |      16 | 
| R. Moss       | wr       | NE           | 60.17 |      16 | 
| L. Fitzgerald | wr       | ARI          | 60.05 |      15 | 
| C. Johnson    | wr       | CIN          | 59.71 |      16 | 
| D. Driver     | wr       | GB           | 59.50 |      15 | 
| D. Jackson    | wr       | DEN          | 59.33 |      15 | 
+---------------+----------+--------------+-------+---------+

And here's the running backs:

+---------------+----------+--------------+-------+---------+
| name          | position | current_team | pts   | games07 |
+---------------+----------+--------------+-------+---------+
| L. Tomlinson  | rb       | SD           | 92.16 |      16 | 
| T. Jones      | rb       | NYJ          | 88.99 |      16 | 
| K. Faulk      | rb       | NE           | 88.95 |      16 | 
| F. Taylor     | rb       | JAC          | 88.71 |      15 | 
| S. Young      | rb       | DEN          | 87.64 |      15 | 
| L. Washington | rb       | NYJ          | 87.13 |      16 | 
| D. Sproles    | rb       | SD           | 87.11 |      15 | 
| M. Smith      | rb       | NYJ          | 86.79 |      16 | 
| M. Jones-Drew | rb       | JAC          | 86.42 |      15 | 
| E. James      | rb       | ARI          | 86.34 |      16 | 
+---------------+----------+--------------+-------+---------+

Something I'm noticing in these results; there are players who were on the roster for every team but didn't necessarily play or get any points. For example, D. Sproles played 4 or 5 games for SD and had great games (one against Detroit, actually). Those games caused his overall score to be inflated a bit. I think I'm going to have to make some adjustments for this effect. I want players who not only dress every game but also play.

Posted by haydenth at July 30, 2008 09:03 PM

Comments

How is drafting three Jets RBs going to help you?
Or two Chargers? etc.

Posted by: foursfourl@yahoo.com at July 31, 2008 02:20 AM

Well, it's not. However, once I think I can straighten out the anomaly that is causing guys like Sproles to show up on my lists - I'm hoping that would resolve some of the homogeneity on the list.

For the record, I don't plan on setting my draft order to match what my analysis is telling me verbatim. Obviously, I'm going to have to use some creative liberty.

Posted by: haydenth at July 31, 2008 08:00 AM

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