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March 04, 2008

占卜与战争

英军情头目曾被骗子“忽悠” BBC news

这逻辑是如果能掌握贞人的规则,就能预测商王的战争计划。。。

http://news.bbc.co.uk/chinese/simp/hi/newsid_7270000/newsid_7276600/7276624.stm

自称出生匈牙利贵族的鲁德维格·冯·沃赫(Ludwig von Wohl)曾在二战期间成功说服英国军情头目,让他通过占星预卜希特勒的未来行动
刚解密的国家档案显示,英国一些军情机构头目在二战期间曾经笃信一位号称匈牙利贵族"星相师"的人物,希望通过占星术卜测希特勒的下一步行动计划。

据档案记录,这位名叫鲁德维格·冯·沃赫(Ludwig von Wohl)又称鲁德维格·德·沃赫的匈牙利人,二战期间曾经一度赢得英国军情部门头目的信赖。

这位所谓的匈牙利贵族占星师成功地说服英国军情头目,他有能力依照星相学原理"复制"属于金牛座生人的希特勒私人占星师的每日卜测;也就是说,他表示可以让英国军情部门"第一时间了解到"希特勒的占星师正在向这位纳粹独裁者提供哪些每日星相箴言。

英国情报部门竟然曾一度相信,了解到希特勒每日得到哪些星座运式报告,就能够预测到希特勒下一步的作战行动计划。

不过,解密档案也显示,负责国内安全事务的军情五处(MI5)曾经警告有关方面,冯·沃赫很有可能是骗子。

美国之行

据记录,这位匈牙利籍星相师当时是一位充满争议的人物。

尽管有很多盟军军方人士指责他是"骗子"、"小丑",也有不少资深人士认定他能够洞悉纳粹领导人的想法。


他无法相信任何人会再次雇佣这个危险的骗子与投机商
军情六处档案资料
尽管英国军情五处很快通过背景调查证实,沃赫根本不是他所谓的什么匈牙利贵族,但是仍然未能阻止这位争议性人物被战时"特别行动指挥部"的宣传小组雇佣为上校军衔情报官。

据悉,这位军情少校最喜欢身着军官制服在伦敦市中心的街道上溜达。

1940年,他还被宣传小组作为游说团的一分子派遣到美国,以期说服美国人对纳粹开战。

尽管最终是日本突袭珍珠港事件才将美国拉入了世界大战,英国军情部门当时的内部报告仍然称沃赫的美国之行"非常成功"。

"占星战术"

据称,沃赫美国之行后便建议伦敦高层授权他"复制"希特勒最信赖的星相师-瑞士人卡尔·克拉夫特(Karl Ernst Krafft)的每日占星预测。

沃赫告诉英国军情部门说,希特勒特别相信星座运式,因此如果英国人能够及时得知希特勒每天得到哪些占星算命报告,就可以更好地把握这位纳粹领导人的决策心态。

这项建议竟然得到当时负责皇家海军情报工作的头目约翰·高德福瑞(John Godfrey)的赏识;高德福瑞认为,希特勒得战略部署似乎随机性很大,让人难以预测。

不过,英国军情五处和军情六处的多数情报人员提出过强烈反对,认为计划荒唐至极。

据悉,当时军情六处一位资深军官曾明确表示,"无法相信任何人会再次雇佣这个危险的骗子与投机商。"

如今,二战历史学家和研究者普遍认为,希特勒战时的各项决定从来没有真正倚赖卜算做出。

有兴趣的公众可以前往坐落在伦敦西城Kew附近的国家档案馆阅读任何已经解密的档案文件。

British 'studied' Hitler's stars

Ludwig von Wohl was recruited by British intelligence chiefs

von Wohl's role
British intelligence chiefs tried to guess Hitler's plans by studying his horoscope, according to files released by the National Archives.
Hungarian Ludwig von Wohl persuaded senior intelligence figures that he could replicate the forecasts of the Nazi leader's personal astrologer.

He claimed that if London knew what advice Hitler, born on 20 April, was getting, they would know his next move.

But the security service MI5 had warned that von Wohl was a "charlatan".

American tour

Von Wohl, who was also known as Louis de Wohl, was a controversial figure.

Although he was dismissed as a buffoon and a scoundrel by some of the military people he met, others suggested that he was extremely astute, with a keen insight into the thinking of leading Nazis.


He cannot believe that anyone is going to re-employ this dangerous charlatan and confidence-trick merchant
MI6
Despite dismissing his claims of being from Hungarian nobility, MI5 hoped de Wohl could feed them information about his clients among the "great and the good".

But the Special Operations Executive (SOE) - the wartime sabotage organisation - recruited de Wohl for its SO2 propaganda section, giving him the rank of captain and an army uniform.

He is said to have loved to "strut" around London in his military clothes.

In 1940 SOE sent de Wohl on a lecture tour of the United States aimed at convincing a sceptical public that Hitler could be defeated, and therefore that the US should enter the war.

His mission was regarded as a great success, with his talks and interviews being given significant publicity.

But the Japanese attack on Pearl Harbour in December 1941 dramatically brought the US into the conflict as Britain's ally.

Astrological advice

De Wohl returned to London and then came up with his proposal to examine the astrological advice being given to Hitler by Swiss stargazer Karl Ernst Krafft.

De Wohl claimed that as Hitler relied heavily on Krafft's predictions, which were based on mathematics surrounding birthdates, the British could gain a unique insight into his thinking if they knew the astrological advice he was receiving.

The plan appealed to some leading figures, including the Director of Naval Intelligence Admiral John Godfrey, who found Hitler's erratic strategic moves hard to work out.

While his plan was enthusiastically embraced by member of SOE and the Political Warfare Executive, MI5 and MI6 were appalled.

"One of our senior officers comments that he cannot believe that anyone is going to re-employ this dangerous charlatan and confidence-trick merchant," a report from MI6 said.

Another MI5 officer said none of de Wohl's predictions had come true, apart from his forecast of Italy's entry into the war, which he made when it was "quite patent to anybody with the slightest knowledge of international affairs".

Historians now say that Hitler took no notice at all of astrological forecasts.

All the released files can be viewed at the National Archives in Kew, west London.

Posted by limz at 07:39 PM | Comments (0)